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V-Dem Lunch Seminar with Vanessa Boese


Vanessa Boese, visiting scholar 21-25 January, presents "Patterns of Authority Over Space and Time" (with Scott Gates, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård and Håvard Strand).

Abstract: Why are some political systems riven by political instability and regime failure while other polities stably endure for decades? Focusing on the institutional composition of different political systems, we posit that the basis for political stability stems from institutional configurations that are significantly more congruent than others and instability results from incongruent institutions. Building on Gates et al (2006) and Knutsen and Nygård (2015) the new historic Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) dataset (dating back to 1790) is used to propose a novel polity type conceptualization along electoral, liberal and participatory dimensions. The three dimensions span a cube covering all regime types. An "axis of democracy" connects the perfect democracy and perfect autocracy corners of the cube. The further away a certain regime type is from the axis, the less likely it is to ever exist or - if it does, the more likely it is to fail quickly.

In a second step, regime survival times are analyzed and tested using both a Cox regression as well as theoretically informed parametric functional forms, such as a Log-logistic duration model. Preliminary results suggest that non-congruent sets of institutions are less stable, i.e. the long-lasting and more consistent regimes are those located around the perfect democracy and autocracy corners of the cube. The ability of the institutional configuration to hinder competing actors from randomly seizing power is singled out as a central determinant of regime stability.

Föreläsare: Vanessa Boese is a PhD Candidate at the School of Business and Economics, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and a visiting doctoral fellow at the Department of Economics, University of Oslo.

Datum: 2019-01-23

Tid: 12:00 - 13:00

Kategorier: Samhällsvetenskap

Arrangör: Statsvetenskapliga institutionen/V-Dem

Plats: B336, Stora Skansen

Kontaktperson: Natalia Stepanova

Sidansvarig: |Sidan uppdaterades: 2011-03-07

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